Prelims1
Lightweight
Alex White vs Dan Moret
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
·Intrust Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alex White
Dan Moret
68%
32%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
13-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
13-7
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
White: 49 sig / 2 TD ·
Moret: 42 sig / 1 TD
Alex White
Dan Moret
41
Sig strikes landed
35
97
Sig strikes attempted
86
52
Total strikes landed
42
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.50
93s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alex White
"The Spartan"
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Dan Moret
"The Hitman"
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—