Main
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Curtis Millender
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
·Intrust Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Curtis Millender
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
26-10-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-5
W6
Current streak
W3
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Zaleski dos Santos: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Millender: 0 sig / 0 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Curtis Millender
51
Sig strikes landed
58
134
Sig strikes attempted
143
67
Total strikes landed
63
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.5
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
95s
Control time
2s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
26-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W3
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
18-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—