Prelims1
Heavyweight
Maurice Greene vs Jeff Hughes
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
·Intrust Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Maurice Greene
Jeff Hughes
45%
55%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Greene: 70 sig / 0 TD ·
Hughes: 66 sig / 0 TD
Maurice Greene
Jeff Hughes
25
Sig strikes landed
16
50
Sig strikes attempted
34
33
Total strikes landed
35
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Maurice Greene
"The Crochet Boss"
10-7
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
Jeff Hughes
"Lights Out"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31