Back to UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prelims1 Welterweight

Dwight Grant vs Carlo Pedersoli Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos ·O2 Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Dwight Grant
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
38% 62%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
34
Age
Δ 9y
26
11-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Grant: 20 sig / 0 TD · Pedersoli Jr.: 17 sig / 1 TD
Dwight Grant
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
29
Sig strikes landed
39
80
Sig strikes attempted
93
46
Total strikes landed
59
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
122s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dwight Grant

"The Body Snatcher"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
Blue corner
L1

Carlo Pedersoli Jr.

"Semento"
11-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—