Main
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev vs Klidson Abreu
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
·O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Magomed Ankalaev
Klidson Abreu
75%
25%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
27
Age
Δ 0y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ankalaev: 30 sig / 1 TD ·
Abreu: 23 sig / 0 TD
Magomed Ankalaev
Klidson Abreu
39
Sig strikes landed
25
76
Sig strikes attempted
52
64
Total strikes landed
40
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
201s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Magomed Ankalaev
22-2-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
Blue corner
Klidson Abreu
"White Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26