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Prelims1 Featherweight

Daniel Teymur vs Chris Fishgold

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Daniel Teymur
Chris Fishgold
29% 71%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
7-5
Career record
Δ 17 pp
18-5-1
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Teymur: 17 sig / 1 TD · Fishgold: 14 sig / 5 TD
Daniel Teymur
Chris Fishgold
33
Sig strikes landed
43
77
Sig strikes attempted
90
54
Total strikes landed
63
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
91s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Daniel Teymur

"Kid Dynamite"
7-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
Blue corner
L1

Chris Fishgold

18-5-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…