Prelims1
Welterweight
Michel Prazeres vs Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
·O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Michel Prazeres
Ismail Naurdiev
43%
57%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
38
Age
Δ 15y
22
W8
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Prazeres: 15 sig / 3 TD ·
Naurdiev: 63 sig / 0 TD
Michel Prazeres
Ismail Naurdiev
37
Sig strikes landed
33
64
Sig strikes attempted
93
58
Total strikes landed
56
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
6.6
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
279s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
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Blue corner
Ismail Naurdiev
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23