Main
Women's Flyweight
Liz Carmouche vs Lucie Pudilova
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
·O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Liz Carmouche
Lucie Pudilova
45%
55%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
14-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-11
W1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carmouche: 14 sig / 3 TD ·
Pudilova: 33 sig / 0 TD
Liz Carmouche
Lucie Pudilova
50
Sig strikes landed
49
109
Sig strikes attempted
125
89
Total strikes landed
71
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
238s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
Blue corner
L1
Lucie Pudilova
14-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—