Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Edmen Shahbazyan
Charles Byrd
88%
12%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
21
Age
Δ 14y
35
17-5
Career record
Δ 22 pp
10-8
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Shahbazyan: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Byrd: 1 sig / 0 TD
Edmen Shahbazyan
Charles Byrd
18
Sig strikes landed
7
34
Sig strikes attempted
3
46
Total strikes landed
26
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
333s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
41%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
17-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
L1
Charles Byrd
"Kid Dynamite"
10-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—