Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Mickey Gall
80%
20%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
37
Age
Δ 10y
27
32-13
Career record
Δ 18 pp
8-7
W1
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sanchez: 56 sig / 4 TD ·
Gall: 23 sig / 0 TD
Diego Sanchez
Mickey Gall
34
Sig strikes landed
28
63
Sig strikes attempted
71
58
Total strikes landed
46
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
210s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
32-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
15 fights · 7-8
Last 5
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
Blue corner
W1
Mickey Gall
8-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—