Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cody Garbrandt
Pedro Munhoz
60%
40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
65"
28
Age
Δ 5y
32
15-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
21-10
L2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Garbrandt: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Munhoz: 25 sig / 0 TD
Cody Garbrandt
Pedro Munhoz
37
Sig strikes landed
52
94
Sig strikes attempted
114
40
Total strikes landed
62
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
29s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
15-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
Blue corner
W2
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
21-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
L
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—