Prelims1
Featherweight
Jeremy Stephens vs Zabit Magomedsharipov
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jeremy Stephens
Zabit Magomedsharipov
20%
80%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
29-24
Career record
Δ 40 pp
19-1
L1
Current streak
W4
21
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stephens: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Magomedsharipov: 70 sig / 3 TD
Jeremy Stephens
Zabit Magomedsharipov
41
Sig strikes landed
60
100
Sig strikes attempted
120
54
Total strikes landed
87
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
50s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29-24
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
21 fights · 11-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
Blue corner
W4
Zabit Magomedsharipov
19-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—