Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Misha Cirkunov
Johnny Walker
31%
69%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
82"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
16-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
23-10
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cirkunov: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Walker: 4 sig / 0 TD
Misha Cirkunov
Johnny Walker
9
Sig strikes landed
22
15
Sig strikes attempted
48
17
Total strikes landed
30
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
77s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
9%
KO/TKO
83%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Misha Cirkunov
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
Blue corner
W2
Johnny Walker
23-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—