Back to UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Benito Lopez vs Manny Bermudez

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez ·Footprint Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Benito Lopez
Manny Bermudez
47% 53%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
25
Age
Δ 0y
25
11-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-2
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lopez: 7 sig / 0 TD · Bermudez: 7 sig / 1 TD
Benito Lopez
Manny Bermudez
33
Sig strikes landed
43
86
Sig strikes attempted
112
34
Total strikes landed
60
-0.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.0
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
35s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Benito Lopez

"Golden Boy"
11-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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Blue corner
W2

Manny Bermudez

"The Bermudez Triangle"
15-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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