Prelims1
Bantamweight
Jimmie Rivera vs Aljamain Sterling
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
·Footprint Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jimmie Rivera
Aljamain Sterling
44%
56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-5
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rivera: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Sterling: 101 sig / 0 TD
Jimmie Rivera
Aljamain Sterling
47
Sig strikes landed
61
112
Sig strikes attempted
139
67
Total strikes landed
80
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
6.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
59s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
24-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
Blue corner
W2
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—