Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
James Vick
Paul Felder
56%
44%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
13-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-7
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vick: 61 sig / 0 TD ·
Felder: 55 sig / 0 TD
James Vick
Paul Felder
49
Sig strikes landed
46
119
Sig strikes attempted
93
57
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
63s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
13-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—