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Johnny Walker vs Justin Ledet

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 ·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Justin Ledet
80% 20%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 2"
80"
27
Age
Δ 4y
30
23-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-5
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Walker: 7 sig / 0 TD · Ledet: 0 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Walker
Justin Ledet
33
Sig strikes landed
17
77
Sig strikes attempted
43
35
Total strikes landed
21
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
195s
Control time
11s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Johnny Walker

23-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
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Blue corner
L1

Justin Ledet

"El Blanco"
9-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
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W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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