Back to UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

Markus Perez vs Anthony Hernandez

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 ·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Markus Perez
Anthony Hernandez
36% 64%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
31
Age
Δ 5y
25
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Perez: 16 sig / 1 TD · Hernandez: 17 sig / 0 TD
Markus Perez
Anthony Hernandez
31
Sig strikes landed
39
65
Sig strikes attempted
77
46
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
121s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Markus Perez

"Maluko"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
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W UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
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L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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Blue corner

Anthony Hernandez

"Fluffy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25