Back to UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Mara Romero Borella vs Taila Santos

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 ·Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mara Romero Borella
Taila Santos
19% 81%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
L1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Romero Borella: 29 sig / 2 TD · Santos: 36 sig / 1 TD
Mara Romero Borella
Taila Santos
40
Sig strikes landed
52
102
Sig strikes attempted
110
64
Total strikes landed
80
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
153s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mara Romero Borella

12-10 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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W UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
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Blue corner

Taila Santos

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26