Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Ricky Simon
46%
54%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-7-1
W3
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yahya: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Simon: 54 sig / 4 TD
Rani Yahya
Ricky Simon
22
Sig strikes landed
25
67
Sig strikes attempted
73
42
Total strikes landed
46
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
170s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ricky Simon
23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—