Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Teruto Ishihara
Kyung Ho Kang
44%
56%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
28
Age
Δ 4y
31
10-8-2
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-12
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ishihara: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Kang: 26 sig / 1 TD
Teruto Ishihara
Kyung Ho Kang
26
Sig strikes landed
37
58
Sig strikes attempted
80
39
Total strikes landed
57
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
65s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Teruto Ishihara
"Yashabo"
10-8-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kyung Ho Kang
"Mr. Perfect"
19-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
L
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—