Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Callan Potter
Jalin Turner
43%
57%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
35
Age
Δ 11y
24
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Potter: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Turner: 9 sig / 0 TD
Callan Potter
Jalin Turner
31
Sig strikes landed
36
58
Sig strikes attempted
80
50
Total strikes landed
41
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
137s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Callan Potter
"The Rockstar"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner
L1
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
15-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—