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Prelims2 Lightweight

Dennis Bermudez vs Te Edwards

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw ·Barclays Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Dennis Bermudez
Te Edwards
63% 37%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
17-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
6-4
L4
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bermudez: 63 sig / 5 TD · Edwards: 23 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Bermudez
Te Edwards
53
Sig strikes landed
31
84
Sig strikes attempted
76
82
Total strikes landed
60
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.2
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
206s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L4

Dennis Bermudez

"The Menace"
17-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 16 fights · 9-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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L UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
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L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Te Edwards

6-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
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