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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw ·Barclays Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista
53% 47%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Sandhagen: 17 sig / 1 TD · Bautista: 9 sig / 1 TD
Cory Sandhagen
Mario Bautista
50
Sig strikes landed
40
92
Sig strikes attempted
94
73
Total strikes landed
57
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
159s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Cory Sandhagen

19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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Blue corner

Mario Bautista

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
26