Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Karl Roberson
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Karl Roberson
86%
14%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
39
Age
Δ 11y
28
33-10
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Teixeira: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Roberson: 24 sig / 0 TD
Glover Teixeira
Karl Roberson
23
Sig strikes landed
26
41
Sig strikes attempted
57
47
Total strikes landed
39
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
163s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Glover Teixeira
33-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
10-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—