Prelims1
Bantamweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Petr Yan
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
·The Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Petr Yan
57%
43%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
30-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
21-5
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva de Andrade: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Yan: 76 sig / 3 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Petr Yan
54
Sig strikes landed
64
145
Sig strikes attempted
163
58
Total strikes landed
70
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
27s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
30-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
W2
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
21-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—