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Prelims1 Women's Featherweight

Cat Zingano vs Megan Anderson

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 ·The Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Cat Zingano
Megan Anderson
50% 50%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
11-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-6
W1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zingano: 3 sig / 0 TD · Anderson: 3 sig / 0 TD
Cat Zingano
Megan Anderson
33
Sig strikes landed
24
45
Sig strikes attempted
40
72
Total strikes landed
48
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.8
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
247s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cat Zingano

"Alpha"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
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L UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
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L UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
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W UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
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Blue corner
L1

Megan Anderson

11-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
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