🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Featherweight
Cristiane Justino vs Amanda Nunes
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
·The Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cristiane Justino
Amanda Nunes
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
22-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
24-5
W5
Current streak
W7
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Justino: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 13 sig / 0 TD
Cristiane Justino
Amanda Nunes
54
Sig strikes landed
62
104
Sig strikes attempted
124
82
Total strikes landed
91
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
93s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Cristiane Justino
"Cyborg"
22-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W7
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—