Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Prelims2 Lightweight

Mizuto Hirota vs Christos Giagos

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa ·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Mizuto Hirota
Christos Giagos
39% 61%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
38
Age
Δ 9y
29
18-11-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
20-13
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hirota: 19 sig / 0 TD · Giagos: 31 sig / 5 TD
Mizuto Hirota
Christos Giagos
34
Sig strikes landed
40
84
Sig strikes attempted
105
64
Total strikes landed
63
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
158s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Mizuto Hirota

"Pugnus"
18-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 6 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
D UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
L2

Christos Giagos

"The Spartan"
20-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—