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Main Featherweight

Suman Mokhtarian vs Sodiq Yusuff

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa ·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Suman Mokhtarian
Sodiq Yusuff
46% 54%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mokhtarian: 5 sig / 0 TD · Yusuff: 23 sig / 0 TD
Suman Mokhtarian
Sodiq Yusuff
33
Sig strikes landed
37
73
Sig strikes attempted
77
41
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Suman Mokhtarian

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Sodiq Yusuff

"Super"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26