Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Prelims1 Welterweight

Yushin Okami vs Aleksei Kunchenko

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa ·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Yushin Okami
Aleksei Kunchenko
65% 35%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
37
Age
Δ 3y
35
35-12
Career record
Δ 17 pp
21-2
W1
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Okami: 10 sig / 0 TD · Kunchenko: 72 sig / 0 TD
Yushin Okami
Aleksei Kunchenko
31
Sig strikes landed
38
87
Sig strikes attempted
78
41
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
6.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
150s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Yushin Okami

"Thunder"
35-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database 11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
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L UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
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W UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
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Blue corner
W1

Aleksei Kunchenko

21-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
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