Prelims1
Flyweight
Wilson Reis vs Ben Nguyen
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
·Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Wilson Reis
Ben Nguyen
67%
33%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
23-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
16-9
L3
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reis: 32 sig / 7 TD ·
Nguyen: 39 sig / 0 TD
Wilson Reis
Ben Nguyen
29
Sig strikes landed
34
74
Sig strikes attempted
83
51
Total strikes landed
48
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.8
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
233s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Wilson Reis
23-11
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
Blue corner
L1
Ben Nguyen
"Ten"
16-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—