Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Gisele Moreira
Dayana Silva
47%
53%
Why
38
Age
Δ 10y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Moreira: 89 sig / 4 TD ·
Silva: 95 sig / 0 TD
Gisele Moreira
Dayana Silva
35
Sig strikes landed
37
71
Sig strikes attempted
81
69
Total strikes landed
62
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
207s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Gisele Moreira
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
Blue corner
Dayana Silva
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28