Main
Bantamweight
Song Yadong vs Vince Morales
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
·Cadillac Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Vince Morales
83%
17%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
21
Age
Δ 7y
28
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yadong: 79 sig / 2 TD ·
Morales: 74 sig / 0 TD
Song Yadong
Vince Morales
33
Sig strikes landed
26
88
Sig strikes attempted
56
48
Total strikes landed
33
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
182s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
24-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28