Main
Welterweight
Li Jingliang vs David Zawada
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
·Cadillac Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
David Zawada
56%
44%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
20-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
17-8
W1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Jingliang: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Zawada: 73 sig / 0 TD
Li Jingliang
David Zawada
53
Sig strikes landed
38
120
Sig strikes attempted
94
72
Total strikes landed
49
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
90s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
20-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
L1
David Zawada
"Sagat"
17-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—