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Prelims1 Heavyweight

Maurice Greene vs Michel Batista

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Maurice Greene
Michel Batista
57% 43%
Why
32
Age
Δ 2y
35

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Greene: 9 sig / 0 TD · Batista: 0 sig / 1 TD
Maurice Greene
Michel Batista
32
Sig strikes landed
30
65
Sig strikes attempted
63
48
Total strikes landed
41
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
102s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Maurice Greene

"The Crochet Boss"
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Michel Batista

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35