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Main Women's Featherweight

Pannie Kianzad vs Macy Chiasson

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Pannie Kianzad
Macy Chiasson
63% 37%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Kianzad: 19 sig / 0 TD · Chiasson: 24 sig / 0 TD
Pannie Kianzad
Macy Chiasson
37
Sig strikes landed
39
72
Sig strikes attempted
82
71
Total strikes landed
62
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
184s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Pannie Kianzad

"Banzai"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Macy Chiasson

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27