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Roosevelt Roberts vs Darrell Horcher

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Roosevelt Roberts
Darrell Horcher
61% 39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
25
Age
Δ 6y
31
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Roberts: 16 sig / 0 TD · Horcher: 10 sig / 0 TD
Roosevelt Roberts
Darrell Horcher
36
Sig strikes landed
23
72
Sig strikes attempted
43
52
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
109s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Roosevelt Roberts

"The Predator"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Darrell Horcher

"The Saint"
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
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L UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
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