Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Jessica Eye
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Jessica Eye
77%
23%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
19-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
16-11
W3
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cerminara: 65 sig / 0 TD ·
Eye: 81 sig / 0 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Jessica Eye
64
Sig strikes landed
58
171
Sig strikes attempted
161
82
Total strikes landed
74
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
55s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
16-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 3-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—