Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Elias Theodorou
Eryk Anders
66%
34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
17-3
Career record
Δ 21 pp
18-10
W2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Theodorou: 92 sig / 0 TD ·
Anders: 65 sig / 0 TD
Elias Theodorou
Eryk Anders
58
Sig strikes landed
47
124
Sig strikes attempted
114
80
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.7
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
158s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
17-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—