Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Claudia Gadelha vs Nina Nunes
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudia Gadelha
Nina Nunes
79%
21%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
19-5
Career record
Δ 16 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gadelha: 49 sig / 2 TD ·
Nunes: 96 sig / 0 TD
Claudia Gadelha
Nina Nunes
67
Sig strikes landed
55
151
Sig strikes attempted
123
105
Total strikes landed
76
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
281s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Claudia Gadelha
"Claudinha"
19-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
Blue corner
W3
Nina Nunes
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—