Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Dhiego Lima
58%
42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L4
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Laprise: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 5 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Dhiego Lima
37
Sig strikes landed
33
71
Sig strikes attempted
72
53
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
Blue corner
L4
Dhiego Lima
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 1-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—