Prelims2
Flyweight
Joseph Morales vs Eric Shelton
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joseph Morales
Eric Shelton
75%
25%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
24
Age
Δ 4y
28
15-3
Career record
Δ 20 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Morales: 24 sig / 1 TD ·
Shelton: 16 sig / 7 TD
Joseph Morales
Eric Shelton
34
Sig strikes landed
29
75
Sig strikes attempted
56
55
Total strikes landed
42
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joseph Morales
"Bopo"
15-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
L1
Eric Shelton
"Showtime"
12-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—