Back to UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Mark De La Rosa vs Joby Sanchez

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez ·Ball Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Mark De La Rosa
Joby Sanchez
59% 41%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
12-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
De La Rosa: 66 sig / 0 TD · Sanchez: 55 sig / 0 TD
Mark De La Rosa
Joby Sanchez
36
Sig strikes landed
29
81
Sig strikes attempted
64
58
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
165s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Mark De La Rosa

"Bumblebee"
12-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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L UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
Blue corner
L2

Joby Sanchez

11-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—