Prelims1
Lightweight
Davi Ramos vs John Gunther
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Davi Ramos
John Gunther
57%
43%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
11-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
6-1
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Gunther: 1 sig / 0 TD
Davi Ramos
John Gunther
25
Sig strikes landed
23
54
Sig strikes attempted
93
52
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
153s
Control time
230s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Davi Ramos
"Tasmanian Devil"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
John Gunther
"The Machine"
6-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—