Back to UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
Prelims1 Featherweight

Chas Skelly vs Bobby Moffett

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez ·Ball Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chas Skelly
Bobby Moffett
67% 33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
34
Age
Δ 5y
28
L1
Current streak
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9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Skelly: 30 sig / 1 TD · Moffett: 20 sig / 1 TD
Chas Skelly
Bobby Moffett
28
Sig strikes landed
27
66
Sig strikes attempted
54
52
Total strikes landed
42
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
255s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Chas Skelly

"The Scrapper"
19-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
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W UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
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W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
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L UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
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W UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
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Blue corner

Bobby Moffett

"The Wolfman"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28