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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Ashley Yoder vs Amanda Cooper

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ashley Yoder
Amanda Cooper
59% 41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
64"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
8-10
Career record
Δ 11 pp
3-6
L3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Yoder: 38 sig / 1 TD · Cooper: 51 sig / 2 TD
Ashley Yoder
Amanda Cooper
39
Sig strikes landed
36
88
Sig strikes attempted
88
64
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
168s
Control time
208s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Ashley Yoder

"SpiderMonkey"
8-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
L The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
Blue corner
L1

Amanda Cooper

"ABC"
3-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
W UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…