Main
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Germaine de Randamie
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Germaine de Randamie
67%
33%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
16-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pennington: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
de Randamie: 42 sig / 0 TD
Raquel Pennington
Germaine de Randamie
48
Sig strikes landed
40
98
Sig strikes attempted
95
80
Total strikes landed
67
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
192s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—