Main
Welterweight
Donald Cerrone vs Mike Perry
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Donald Cerrone
Mike Perry
72%
28%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
36
Age
Δ 8y
27
36-18
Career record
Δ 1 pp
15-8
L1
Current streak
W1
28
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Cerrone: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Perry: 11 sig / 1 TD
Donald Cerrone
Mike Perry
45
Sig strikes landed
46
90
Sig strikes attempted
94
46
Total strikes landed
57
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.60
Knockdowns
0.50
71s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36-18
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
28 fights · 20-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
W1
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
15-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—