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Beneil Dariush vs Thiago Moises

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez ·Ball Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Thiago Moises
64% 36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
L1
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dariush: 44 sig / 4 TD · Moises: 8 sig / 0 TD
Beneil Dariush
Thiago Moises
36
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
75
59
Total strikes landed
53
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
228s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Beneil Dariush

23-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 13 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
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D UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
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L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
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Blue corner

Thiago Moises

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24